Scopus Eşleşmesi Bulundu
25
Atıf
40
Cilt
308-324
Sayfa
Özet
Purpose – The volatility of exchange rate has generally been sighted as a primary cause for various shocks and instability in international trade of Ghana as witnessed over the years and most especially in recent times. Hence, owing to the increasing trade levels between Ghana and Ghana's global trading partners, the study aims to investigate if the trade–exchange rate volatility nexus in Ghana supports the positive, negative or ambiguous hypotheses? Design/methodology/approach – The study investigates the effects of Ghana's exchange rate volatility on international trade by designing import and export equations to estimate both short- and long-run specifications of the effect and employing the multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity (GARCH) with Baba, Engle, Kraft and Kroner (BEKK) specification developed by Engle and Kroner (1995) as a further check for the robustness of the findings. Monthly data between 1993 and 2017 on the real effective exchange rates of Ghana's trade with 143 trading partners were taken as the series for modeling the volatility using GARCH andexponential generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (EGARCH) models. Findings – The empirical results show that the volatility of exchange rate negatively impact export performances in the Ghanian economy. On the other hand, there was no sufficient evidence to support the observed positive effect of exchange rate volatility on imports, as the effects were only significant at 10% level in the long run. Thus, it is concluded that the finding cannot confirm a relationship between volatility and import. Thus, the results present differences in the direction of the effect of exchange rate volatility on imports and exports in the context of the Ghanaian economy. Research limitations/implications – Considering the fragility of the Ghanaian economy and Ghana's macro-economic indicators, the study points at the crucial need for more integration of well-informed trade policies within the country's macro-economic policy framework to contain the impacts of exchange rate volatility on trade performances. Practical implications – The study contributes to literature by scope and method. More specifically, empirical studies have failed or provided little evidence uniquely on the Ghanaian economy's reaction to exchange rate volatility on the country's imports and exports. Additionally, most of the existing empirical studies measure exchange rate volatility using the standard deviation of the moving averages of the logarithmic transformation of exchange rates. This method is criticized because the method is unsuccessful in capturing the effects of potential booms and bursts of the exchange rate. The authors' study circumvents for these highlighted pitfalls. Social implications – The study contributes to literature by scope and method. More specifically, empirical studies have failed or provided little evidence uniquely on the Ghanaian economy's reaction to exchange rate volatility on the country's imports and exports. Thus, the study chat a course for socio-economic dynamic of Ghanaian economy. Originality/value – The study contributes to literature by its scope and method, as extant empirical studies have provided little evidence specifically on the Ghanaian economy's reaction to exchange rate volatility. Additionally, most of the existing empirical studies measure exchange rate volatility using the standard deviation of the moving averages of the logarithmic transformation of exchange rates. This method is criticized because of the method's inadequacies in capturing the effects of potential booms and bursts of the exchange rate. The study thereby essentially circumvents for these highlighted pitfalls.
Web of Science Eşleşmesi Bulundu
21
WoS Atıf
40
Cilt
Article
Belge Türü
Kaynak: JOURNAL OF ECONOMIC AND ADMINISTRATIVE SCIENCES
· s. 308-324
Anahtar Kelimeler (WoS)
Havuzumuzdaki Atıflar 0
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Anahtar Kelimeler
WoS |
Bir kelimeye tıklayıp ilgili kaynaktaki yayınları görün.
Makale Bilgileri
Dergi
Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences
ISSN
1026-4116
Yıl
2021
/ 12. ay
Makale Türü
Özgün Makale
Hakemlik
Hakemli
Endeks
E-SCI Web of Science, SCOPUS Elsevier
Yayın Dili
İngilizce
Kapsam
Uluslararası
Toplam Yazar
5 kişi
Erişim Türü
Elektronik
Alan
Sosyal, Beşeri ve İdari Bilimler Temel Alanı
Makro İktisat
Gelişme Ekonomisi - Makro
Büyüme
Maliye Politikası
YÖKSİS Yazar Kaydı
Yazar Adı
Yussif Abdul-Razak Bawa, ONIFADE STEPHEN TAIWO, AY AHMET, CANITEZ MURAT, BEKUN FESTUS VICTOR
YÖKSİS ID
5913758